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Growth Projections: When we
make projections, we try to be conservative. We always take into
account what has happened in the past-as well as what we believe
will happen in the future. We carefully consider:
Past Performance-We base our
projection for rare coin prices in part on the history of rare coin
performance. If rare coins made gains under certain economic conditions
in the past, they have the potential to gain if similar conditions
exist in the future.
Economic Forecasts-For the next
three to five year period and for the next ten year period, we use
our economic forecasts to determine the kind of economic environment
we expect to see. Our economic forecasts are based on in-depth research
into the cycles that govern the economy.
Supply and Demand Factors-We
take into account not only the fact that supply and demand factors
have changed over the past 20 years, but also how we expect these
factors to be positioned in the future.
At present there are estimated to be
more than five times as many people collecting and investing in
rare coins than there were in the early 1960's even though the surviving
number of original mint condition rare coins has not increased.
We firmly believe that many more people will enter the rare coin
market in the future. We project that this increase in demand will
have a significant impact on the growth potential of rare coins.
There is no assurance that our growth
projections will be achieved, and it is even possible that, in some
instances, prices may go down. We do not guarantee our forecasts
or projections. But we can and will always strive to give you what
we believe is the most accurate picture of the future. And we will
continue to recommend the rare coins and bullion that, in our opinion,
have the greatest long-term potential.
Grading Standards: Park Avenue
Numismatics uses the Numerical Grading System, MS/60 to MS/70. "MS"
("Mint State") classifies the coins we sell as being Uncirculated
or mint state. Typically, the higher the grade is, the more the
coin is worth. A grade is assigned to the coin based upon the coin's
overall eye appeal, luster, marks and scratches, and the sharpness
of its strike. Grading is a subjective art, and is subject to the
opinion of the person(s) grading the coin. Grading is not a science
and can not rely on precise and definitive analysis or evaluation.
Even when common grading standards are applied, grading can and
does vary from rare coin firm to rare coin firm, from grading service
to grading service, and from expert to expert. Grading standards
have changed in the past and could change in the future. However,
National Coin Depository has strived to maintain consistent grading
standards and will continue to do so in the future.
National Coin Depository' Coin Grading
System: National Coin Depository initially places original mint-condition
coins into one of 11 major categories. Each coin is hereby categorized
or graded according to its condition. This allows single coins to
be assigned on of five single grades, and rolls and sets of coins
to be assigned one of National Coin Depository' four single grades.
While some single coins grade the same
on both sides, many do not. For example if a coin grades MS/63 on
one side and MS/63 on the other, our grading system would assign
that coin a grade of MS/63. Another coin might grade MS/63 on one
side and MS/65 on the other. In that case, our grading system would
assign a grade of MS/63+, because each side of the coin grades MS/63
or higher.
When National Coin Depository grades
rolls or sets of coins, MS/60+, MS/63+, MS/64+, or MS/65+, it means
that all of the coins in each roll or set will fall within the grade
assigned to that roll or set. For example, any coin in a roll or
set graded MS/63+ will grade at least MS/63 or higher. No single
coin in that roll or set will grade lower than MS/63, and it is
likely that any single coin in that roll or set will grade MS/64
or MS/65 on both side. These grading standards allow Park Avenue
Numismatics to most accurately describe the coins it sells in rolls
or sets.
Risk Disclosure: The purchase
of coins may involve some risk. The value of the bullion coin (a
coin that has little or no numismatic value) is determined primarily
by the spot or market price of bullion which fluctuates daily. The
value of a numismatic or rare coin is determined, in large part,
by its perceived scarcity and quality, which could and does fluctuate
independently of bullion prices. Accordingly, both bullion and rare
coins can go down, as well as up, in value.
Prices: National Coin Depository'
prices may be higher or lower than prices you might find elsewhere,
in accordance with our purchase price, but we feel our prices reflect
the quality of coins we handle, the effort we put into obtaining
such quality coins and making them available to you, and our guarantee
of authenticity and grading.
Holding Period: We strongly
recommend a holding period for rare coins of at least three to five
years, preferably five to ten years. A number of factors may cause
prices to fluctuate during the short term. However, based upon our
economic analysis and the past performance of coins during certain
economic cycles, we feel that over the long term the price trend
for rare coins is upward.
Buy-back Policy: Our buy-back
policy is not a guarantee. It is a policy. Therefore, it is subject
to change. Our present buy-back policy is to repurchase coins from
our customers at "our" then current "bid" price, which is determined
by several factors including published industry reports and supply
and demand factors.
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